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Conseco Memo #24 - 1Q02 Earnings

To: Conseco Shareholders
From: Gary Wendt, Chairman & CEO
Date: May 1, 2002
Re: 1Q Earnings
Summary
As indicated in the recent 10-K filing, the 2002 liquidity issues are behind us. Cash-raising initiatives have been very successful and accomplished without damage to our business franchises. The 2002 shortfall is covered, and we are confident about liquidity in 2003.

1Q02 operating earnings were $39.9 million, up 18% from $33.8 million in 4Q01 (12¢ per share in 1Q02 vs. 10¢ per share in 4Q01). However, it should be recognized that the previous quarter included a $28.3 million charge (8¢ per share) for goodwill amortization. This expense is no longer required under new accounting rules that went into effect in 2002.

We incurred net non-operating charges (after-tax) of $136.8 million, resulting in a net loss of $96.9 million for the quarter.

Pre-tax operating earnings in the Finance company were up 23% over 4Q01. Progress is also evident in collections with managed 30+ delinquencies down 54 basis points and managed 60+ delinquencies down 11 basis points since the end of 4Q01. We see positive signs that economic recovery may be taking hold, but the after-effects of the recession and the glut of manufactured housing repos in the marketplace will continue to pressure earnings in 2002.

Insurance segment pre-tax operating earnings for 1Q02 were $163.7 million, only $4 million below our 1st quarter expectation, but down 18% from $200.1 million in 4Q01. Sales were flat to down a bit for the quarter reflecting, we believe, the distraction of cash raising initiatives and reorganization activities.

Corporate interest and preferred dividend expense in 1Q02 was $117.7 million, down from $152.3 million in 1Q01, a 23% reduction.

The recently concluded bond exchange successfully smoothed our 2004 – 2009 public debt principal maturities.

Our 2002 guidance for operating earnings remains 60¢ to 70¢ per share.

Chart 1
1st Quarter 2002
$ millions except per share amounts
Q2 '01 Q3 '01 Q4 '01 Full Year 2001 Q1 '02
Insurance and fee based $231.6 $208.3 $200.1 $843.2 $163.7
Finance 80.1 72.5 27.0 243.2 33.1
Subtotal 311.7 280.8 227.1 1086.4 196.8
Corporate:
Interest and dividends (138.2) (130.8) (127.7) (549.0) (117.7)
Expns less chgs to subs (9.3) (9.3) (9.9) (20.0) (9.6)
Int and div alloctd to CFC 1.9 0.0 (0.9) 6.5 (0.9)
Pre-tax 166.1 140.7 88.6 523.9 68.6
Taxes (68.1) (51.8) (26.5) (194.1) (28.7)
Total after-tax pre-goodwill 98.0 88.9 62.1 329.8 39.9
Goodwill amortization (28.4) (28.3) (28.3) (111.8) 0.0
Operating earnings 69.6 60.6 33.8 218.0 39.9
Non-Operating earnings (loss), net of tax (99.9) (471.2) (91.8) (636.7) (136.8)
Operating earnings per share:
Pre-goodwill $0.29 $0.26 $0.18 $0.97 $0.12
Post-goodwill $0.21 $0.18 $0.10 $0.64 $0.12
Net income (loss) per share ($0.09) ($1.21) ($0.17) ($1.24) ($0.28)
Equivalent shares outstanding 337.8 340.3 343.3 338.1 345.2

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